England vs Austria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.5%
Win probability
3.87
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.4%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.1%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
2%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
5.9%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
3.6%
7-2
1.1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
10%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
5.5%
6-2
1.9%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
7.2%
5-2
3%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.1%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
8.6%
5.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1958 |
BRA
0 - 0
ENG
64%
18%
18%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1958 |
SUN
2 - 2
ENG
34%
24%
42%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1958 |
SUN
1 - 1
ENG
23%
21%
57%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1958 |
YUG
5 - 0
ENG
37%
22%
41%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1958 |
ENG
2 - 1
POR
88%
8%
4%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1958 |
SUN
2 - 0
AUT
40%
24%
36%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1958 |
BRA
3 - 0
AUT
76%
14%
11%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1958 |
AUT
3 - 1
IRL
78%
13%
9%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1958 |
AUT
3 - 2
ITA
53%
21%
26%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1957 |
AUT
2 - 2
CSK
69%
16%
14%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |