England vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.8%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.4%
9.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 1966 |
ENG
2 - 0
FRA
88%
8%
4%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 1966 |
ENG
2 - 0
MEX
87%
9%
5%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 1966 |
ENG
0 - 0
URU
85%
10%
6%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1966 |
POL
0 - 1
ENG
21%
21%
59%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 1966 |
DEN
0 - 2
ENG
21%
21%
59%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 1966 |
ARG
2 - 0
SUI
82%
12%
6%
|
89 | 65 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 1966 |
BRD
0 - 0
ARG
62%
19%
19%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1966 |
ARG
2 - 1
ESP
68%
18%
15%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1966 |
ITA
3 - 0
ARG
62%
20%
18%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1966 |
ARG
1 - 1
POL
77%
14%
9%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |