England vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.6%
21.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1951 |
ENG
2 - 3
SCO
75%
14%
11%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1950 |
ENG
2 - 2
YUG
79%
12%
9%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1950 |
ENG
4 - 2
WAL
86%
9%
5%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1950 |
NIR
1 - 4
ENG
25%
20%
55%
|
87 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1950 |
ENG
4 - 2
CAN
92%
6%
3%
|
87 | 8 | 79 | 0 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1950 |
ARG
4 - 0
PAR
77%
13%
10%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1950 |
ARG
2 - 2
PAR
78%
13%
9%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1947 |
ARG
3 - 1
URU
70%
16%
14%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 1947 |
ARG
2 - 0
ECU
84%
11%
6%
|
88 | 53 | 35 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1947 |
ARG
6 - 0
COL
78%
13%
9%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |