England vs Saudi Arabia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
12%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
16.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.8%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
6.9%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1998 |
ENG
3 - 0
POR
66%
22%
12%
|
97 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1998 |
SUI
1 - 1
ENG
20%
28%
52%
|
97 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1998 |
ENG
0 - 2
CHI
70%
19%
10%
|
97 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1997 |
ENG
2 - 0
CMR
78%
16%
6%
|
97 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1997 |
ITA
0 - 0
ENG
44%
27%
29%
|
97 | 97 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Saudi Arabia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1998 |
KSA
2 - 1
NAM
91%
7%
2%
|
83 | 52 | 31 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1998 |
KSA
1 - 1
ISL
76%
16%
8%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1998 |
KSA
2 - 1
TTO
72%
17%
11%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1998 |
JAM
0 - 0
KSA
33%
29%
38%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1998 |
KSA
0 - 3
GER
16%
24%
60%
|
83 | 94 | 11 | 0 |