England vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2000 |
POR
3 - 2
ENG
21%
26%
54%
|
97 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2000 |
MLT
1 - 2
ENG
12%
24%
65%
|
97 | 57 | 40 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2000 |
ENG
2 - 0
UKR
90%
9%
2%
|
97 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2000 |
ENG
1 - 1
BRA
27%
26%
47%
|
97 | 100 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2000 |
ENG
0 - 0
ARG
49%
26%
25%
|
97 | 96 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2000 |
GER
1 - 1
ROU
63%
19%
17%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2000 |
GER
8 - 2
LIE
97%
3%
0%
|
94 | 12 | 82 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2000 |
GER
3 - 2
CZE
81%
13%
7%
|
94 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2000 |
GER
1 - 1
SUI
71%
18%
11%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2000 |
CRO
1 - 1
GER
37%
26%
38%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | 0 |