England vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.6%
15.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1954 |
ENG
3 - 2
WAL
86%
9%
5%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1954 |
NIR
0 - 2
ENG
26%
20%
54%
|
87 | 60 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1954 |
URU
4 - 2
ENG
37%
22%
42%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1954 |
ENG
2 - 0
SUI
83%
10%
7%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1954 |
ENG
4 - 4
BEL
81%
11%
8%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
BEL
2 - 0
GER
42%
21%
37%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1954 |
SUI
3 - 5
GER
37%
22%
41%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1953 |
GER
0 - 0
AUT
69%
16%
16%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1952 |
ESP
2 - 2
GER
54%
20%
26%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1952 |
GER
5 - 1
SUI
82%
10%
7%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |