England vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
12%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1909 |
ENG
4 - 0
IDI
84%
10%
6%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1908 |
BOH
0 - 4
ENG
43%
23%
35%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1908 |
HUN
0 - 7
ENG
43%
23%
35%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 1908 |
AUT
1 - 11
ENG
51%
21%
28%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 1908 |
AUT
1 - 6
ENG
53%
21%
26%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1908 |
AUT
3 - 2
GER
59%
19%
22%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1908 |
SUI
5 - 3
GER
56%
21%
24%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1907 |
GER
5 - 3
HUN
64%
18%
18%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1907 |
HUN
5 - 2
GER
52%
22%
26%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |