England vs Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.6%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
8%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.2%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.4%
5.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 1908 |
BOH
0 - 4
ENG
43%
23%
35%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1908 |
HUN
0 - 7
ENG
43%
23%
35%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 1908 |
AUT
1 - 11
ENG
51%
21%
28%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 1908 |
AUT
1 - 6
ENG
53%
21%
26%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1908 |
SCO
1 - 1
ENG
50%
22%
28%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1908 |
WAL
0 - 1
IDI
54%
21%
25%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1908 |
IDI
0 - 5
SCO
47%
23%
30%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 1908 |
IDI
1 - 3
ENG
39%
24%
37%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1906 |
WAL
4 - 4
IDI
49%
23%
29%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1906 |
IDI
0 - 1
SCO
51%
22%
28%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |