Hungary vs Yugoslavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
13.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1974 |
BRD
5 - 0
HUN
59%
22%
19%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1974 |
HUN
3 - 1
BGR
78%
15%
7%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1973 |
HUN
0 - 1
DDR
76%
15%
8%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1973 |
DEN
2 - 2
HUN
24%
25%
51%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1973 |
YUG
1 - 1
HUN
42%
25%
33%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1974 |
YUG
0 - 1
SUN
59%
24%
18%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1974 |
YUG
1 - 0
ESP
57%
24%
20%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1973 |
GRC
2 - 4
YUG
28%
26%
47%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1973 |
YUG
0 - 0
ESP
57%
23%
20%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1973 |
YUG
1 - 1
HUN
42%
25%
33%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |