Hungary vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.2%
Win probability
3.73
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.6%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
5.2%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
3.3%
7-2
1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
9.1%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
5.3%
6-2
1.9%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
0.1%
+4
13.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
3%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
4%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.1%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
9.6%
7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 1954 |
HUN
4 - 2
BRA
78%
12%
10%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1954 |
HUN
8 - 3
BRD
87%
8%
5%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1954 |
HUN
9 - 0
KOR
90%
7%
4%
|
90 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1954 |
HUN
7 - 1
ENG
71%
14%
14%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1954 |
AUT
0 - 1
HUN
41%
21%
39%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 1954 |
URU
4 - 2
ENG
37%
22%
42%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1954 |
URU
7 - 0
SCO
53%
21%
26%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 1954 |
URU
2 - 0
CSK
60%
20%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 1954 |
PDS
1 - 7
URU
49%
21%
30%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1954 |
SUI
3 - 3
URU
44%
21%
35%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |