Hungary vs USSR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
11.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1976 |
HUN
1 - 0
FRA
77%
15%
8%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1976 |
SUI
0 - 1
HUN
23%
26%
51%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1976 |
YUG
0 - 0
HUN
47%
25%
28%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1976 |
HUN
2 - 0
ARG
66%
20%
14%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 1975 |
HUN
8 - 1
LUX
90%
7%
3%
|
89 | 45 | 44 | 0 |
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1976 |
SUN
2 - 2
CSK
55%
26%
20%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1976 |
CSK
2 - 0
SUN
61%
22%
17%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1976 |
BGR
0 - 3
SUN
45%
28%
28%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1976 |
SUN
0 - 1
ARG
55%
25%
21%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1976 |
CSK
2 - 2
SUN
61%
22%
16%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |