Hungary vs USSR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.1%
Win probability
4.17
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.8%
10-1
0.2%
+9
1.1%
8-0
1.8%
9-1
0.6%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.4%
7-0
3.4%
8-1
1.2%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.8%
6-0
5.7%
7-1
2.3%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
8.5%
5-0
8.2%
6-1
3.9%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
+5
13%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
5.6%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.7%
5.2%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
2.2%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
5.2%
2.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
1.8%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1957 |
BGR
1 - 2
HUN
10%
15%
75%
|
91 | 68 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1957 |
HUN
4 - 1
BGR
93%
5%
2%
|
91 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1957 |
SWE
0 - 0
HUN
29%
20%
51%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1957 |
NOR
2 - 1
HUN
10%
15%
75%
|
91 | 67 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1956 |
AUT
0 - 2
HUN
33%
20%
47%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 1957 |
FIN
0 - 10
SUN
75%
13%
11%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 1957 |
SUN
2 - 1
FIN
57%
20%
24%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 1957 |
BGR
0 - 4
SUN
75%
14%
12%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | +2 |
| 23 Jun. 1957 |
SUN
3 - 0
POL
41%
21%
39%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | +2 |
| 01 Jun. 1957 |
SUN
1 - 1
ROU
38%
21%
41%
|
46 | 71 | 25 | 0 |