Hungary vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
11.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1973 |
DDR
2 - 1
HUN
33%
26%
41%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1973 |
HUN
2 - 2
AUT
80%
14%
7%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1972 |
AUT
2 - 2
HUN
29%
26%
44%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
POL
2 - 1
HUN
44%
24%
32%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1972 |
HUN
2 - 0
MEX
83%
11%
7%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1973 |
SWE
3 - 2
AUT
69%
19%
12%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1973 |
DEN
1 - 2
SWE
35%
26%
39%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1972 |
SWE
7 - 0
MLT
82%
12%
6%
|
87 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1972 |
NOR
1 - 3
SWE
13%
21%
66%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 1972 |
SWE
4 - 4
SUN
56%
25%
19%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |