Hungary vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
4.2%
5-3
1.3%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
5.7%
4-3
2.2%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.3%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
16.1%
18.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
HUN
5 - 0
BGR
87%
8%
5%
|
85 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
AUT
3 - 4
HUN
53%
20%
28%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 1949 |
HUN
8 - 2
POL
85%
9%
6%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1949 |
SWE
2 - 2
HUN
69%
15%
16%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1949 |
HUN
1 - 1
ITA
58%
19%
23%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
IRL
1 - 3
SWE
34%
21%
45%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
DEN
3 - 2
SWE
50%
20%
30%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1949 |
SWE
3 - 3
NOR
87%
8%
5%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1949 |
SWE
2 - 2
HUN
69%
15%
16%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1949 |
SWE
3 - 1
IRL
89%
7%
4%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |