Hungary vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
4%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.6%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
16.4%
18.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 1938 |
HUN
2 - 0
SUI
80%
11%
8%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1938 |
HUN
6 - 0
IDN
87%
8%
5%
|
81 | 55 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1938 |
HUN
11 - 1
GRC
80%
12%
9%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1938 |
GER
1 - 1
HUN
59%
18%
23%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 1938 |
LUX
0 - 6
HUN
26%
20%
54%
|
80 | 55 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 1938 |
SWE
2 - 0
FIN
88%
7%
4%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1938 |
SWE
8 - 0
CUB
86%
9%
6%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1938 |
SWE
3 - 3
LVA
84%
9%
7%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1937 |
GER
5 - 0
SWE
65%
17%
19%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1937 |
SWE
1 - 2
DEN
71%
15%
14%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |