Hungary vs Romania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.5%
Win probability
3.62
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.4%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
4.9%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
3.1%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
8.9%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
5.1%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.7%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.5%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
0.1%
0
9.7%
6.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1948 |
HUN
2 - 1
CSK
72%
15%
14%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1948 |
ALB
0 - 0
HUN
30%
21%
49%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1948 |
AUT
3 - 2
HUN
56%
19%
26%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1948 |
HUN
7 - 4
SUI
82%
11%
8%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1947 |
ROU
0 - 3
HUN
34%
21%
46%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1948 |
ROU
0 - 1
ALB
62%
18%
21%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1947 |
ROU
0 - 0
POL
54%
19%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1947 |
ROU
0 - 3
HUN
34%
21%
46%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1947 |
ROU
2 - 6
CSK
42%
22%
36%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 1947 |
POL
1 - 2
ROU
59%
18%
23%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |