Hungary vs East Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.6%
Win probability
3.13
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
7%
5-1
4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.7%
7.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1972 |
DEN
0 - 2
HUN
38%
25%
37%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1972 |
HUN
2 - 2
BRA
58%
20%
22%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1972 |
HUN
5 - 0
IRN
85%
9%
6%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1972 |
BEL
2 - 1
HUN
42%
24%
34%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1972 |
SUN
1 - 0
HUN
55%
22%
24%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
East Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1972 |
POL
2 - 1
DDR
64%
19%
17%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1972 |
DDR
6 - 1
COL
83%
10%
7%
|
83 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1972 |
DDR
4 - 0
GHA
70%
16%
14%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1972 |
DDR
0 - 0
URU
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1972 |
DDR
1 - 0
URU
58%
22%
20%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |