Hungary vs East Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.3%
Win probability
3.39
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.3%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.7%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.6%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.6%
4.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1965 |
HUN
3 - 0
AUT
85%
10%
6%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1965 |
HUN
2 - 1
ITA
75%
15%
10%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1965 |
AUT
0 - 1
HUN
31%
23%
47%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1965 |
DDR
1 - 1
HUN
19%
21%
61%
|
91 | 65 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1965 |
ENG
1 - 0
HUN
48%
21%
31%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
East Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1965 |
BGR
3 - 2
DDR
59%
20%
21%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1965 |
DDR
1 - 1
HUN
19%
21%
61%
|
65 | 91 | 26 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1965 |
AUT
1 - 1
DDR
80%
12%
8%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1965 |
URU
0 - 2
DDR
74%
16%
10%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 1964 |
DDR
3 - 1
EGY
53%
21%
26%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | +2 |