Hungary vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
35.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2000 |
HUN
0 - 3
AUS
49%
27%
25%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2000 |
URU
2 - 0
HUN
54%
24%
23%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
PAR
1 - 1
HUN
51%
25%
25%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1999 |
POR
3 - 0
HUN
58%
24%
19%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1999 |
HUN
3 - 0
AZE
89%
9%
3%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2000 |
FRA
1 - 0
POL
76%
16%
8%
|
89 | 99 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2000 |
ESP
3 - 0
POL
76%
16%
8%
|
89 | 98 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1999 |
SWE
2 - 0
POL
62%
22%
16%
|
89 | 95 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1999 |
POL
0 - 0
ENG
22%
27%
51%
|
89 | 97 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1999 |
POL
1 - 2
ESP
19%
25%
56%
|
89 | 97 | 8 | 0 |