Hungary vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
93.3%
Win probability
4.09
Expected goals
10-0
0.4%
+10
0.4%
9-0
0.9%
10-1
0.2%
+9
1%
8-0
1.9%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.4%
7-0
3.7%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.1%
+7
4.8%
6-0
6.3%
7-1
2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
8.6%
5-0
9.3%
6-1
3.4%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
13.3%
4-0
11.4%
5-1
5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
17.4%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
4.7%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
2.2%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
4.7%
1.7%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.4%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1960 |
BEL
2 - 1
HUN
10%
15%
75%
|
92 | 69 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1960 |
HUN
1 - 1
YUG
83%
11%
7%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1960 |
HUN
2 - 1
ITA
88%
8%
5%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1960 |
DEN
2 - 0
HUN
37%
21%
42%
|
92 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1960 |
HUN
7 - 0
FRA
91%
6%
3%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1960 |
POL
2 - 2
FRA
46%
22%
32%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1960 |
ARG
2 - 0
POL
84%
11%
6%
|
69 | 90 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1960 |
DEN
2 - 1
POL
79%
12%
9%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 1960 |
POL
6 - 1
TUN
73%
14%
13%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +2 |
| 26 Jun. 1960 |
POL
4 - 0
BGR
60%
19%
21%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |