Hungary vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91%
Win probability
4.09
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.7%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.9%
8-0
1.5%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.1%
7-0
3%
8-1
1.1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.4%
6-0
5.2%
7-1
2.2%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
7.9%
5-0
7.6%
6-1
3.8%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
+5
12.4%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
5.6%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.5%
5.8%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
2.4%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
5.8%
2.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 1956 |
POR
2 - 2
HUN
20%
18%
62%
|
91 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1956 |
BEL
5 - 4
HUN
22%
19%
60%
|
91 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1956 |
HUN
2 - 4
CSK
89%
7%
4%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 1956 |
HUN
2 - 2
YUG
84%
10%
6%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1956 |
LBN
1 - 4
HUN
16%
17%
67%
|
92 | 54 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1956 |
NOR
0 - 0
POL
68%
17%
16%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1955 |
FIN
1 - 3
POL
54%
19%
27%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 1955 |
BGR
1 - 1
POL
56%
19%
25%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1955 |
ROU
2 - 2
POL
69%
17%
15%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
DDR
0 - 1
POL
18%
20%
62%
|
63 | 7 | 56 | 0 |