Hungary vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.6%
Win probability
4.04
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.7%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
1.1%
9-2
0.3%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.7%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
2.2%
8-2
0.6%
9-3
0.1%
+6
6.8%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
3.9%
7-2
1.1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
11%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
5.8%
6-2
2%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
7.2%
5-2
2.9%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13%
7.5%
Draw
0-0
0.6%
1-1
2.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
7.5%
4.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
3-6
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1950 |
BGR
1 - 1
HUN
24%
20%
56%
|
86 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1950 |
HUN
4 - 3
AUT
73%
14%
13%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1950 |
HUN
12 - 0
ALB
89%
7%
4%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1950 |
POL
2 - 5
HUN
29%
20%
50%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1950 |
AUT
5 - 3
HUN
51%
20%
30%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1950 |
BGR
0 - 1
POL
54%
20%
26%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1950 |
POL
1 - 4
CSK
43%
22%
35%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 1950 |
POL
2 - 5
HUN
29%
20%
50%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1950 |
POL
3 - 3
ROU
58%
19%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1950 |
ALB
0 - 0
POL
48%
20%
33%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |