Hungary vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.6%
Win probability
3.78
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.2%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.8%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.8%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
5.5%
5-0
5%
6-1
3.4%
7-2
1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
9.6%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
5.4%
6-2
1.8%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.9%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.6%
9%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
9%
6.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 1949 |
SWE
2 - 2
HUN
69%
15%
16%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1949 |
HUN
1 - 1
ITA
58%
19%
23%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1949 |
HUN
6 - 1
AUT
69%
15%
16%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
CSK
5 - 2
HUN
50%
20%
30%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1948 |
BGR
1 - 0
HUN
25%
20%
55%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 1949 |
POL
1 - 2
DEN
45%
22%
34%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1949 |
ROU
2 - 1
POL
58%
19%
23%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1948 |
POL
1 - 0
FIN
83%
10%
7%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1948 |
POL
0 - 0
ROU
61%
18%
21%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1948 |
POL
2 - 6
HUN
33%
21%
46%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | -1 |