Hungary vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.9%
Win probability
4.62
Expected goals
10-0
0.4%
+10
0.4%
9-0
1%
10-1
0.4%
+9
1.4%
8-0
1.9%
9-1
1%
10-2
0.2%
+8
3.1%
7-0
3.3%
8-1
1.9%
9-2
0.5%
10-3
0.1%
+7
5.7%
6-0
4.9%
7-1
3.2%
8-2
0.9%
9-3
0.2%
10-4
<0%
+6
9.3%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
4.9%
7-2
1.6%
8-3
0.3%
9-4
<0%
+5
13.3%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
6.4%
6-2
2.4%
7-3
0.5%
8-4
0.1%
+4
16.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
3.2%
6-3
0.8%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
1.7%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
9.9%
5.3%
Draw
0-0
0.4%
1-1
1.7%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
0.1%
0
5.3%
3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
0.4%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0.1%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 1958 |
SWE
2 - 1
HUN
54%
20%
26%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1958 |
HUN
1 - 1
WAL
94%
4%
2%
|
91 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1958 |
SCO
1 - 1
HUN
17%
19%
64%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1958 |
HUN
2 - 0
YUG
86%
9%
5%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1957 |
GER
1 - 0
HUN
27%
20%
53%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1958 |
MEX
1 - 1
WAL
75%
14%
11%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1958 |
SWE
3 - 0
MEX
85%
9%
6%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1956 |
MEX
2 - 1
CHI
66%
18%
17%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1956 |
MEX
0 - 0
ARG
34%
23%
43%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1956 |
MEX
1 - 2
BRA
39%
22%
39%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |