Hungary vs Luxembourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.2%
Win probability
3.54
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.3%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.9%
6-0
4.6%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6%
5-0
7.7%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.6%
4-0
10.9%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
6.9%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
6.9%
2.7%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1975 |
CSK
1 - 1
HUN
50%
24%
26%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1975 |
POL
4 - 2
HUN
49%
25%
26%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1975 |
HUN
2 - 1
AUT
75%
17%
9%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1975 |
IRN
1 - 2
HUN
18%
23%
59%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1975 |
HUN
1 - 2
WAL
85%
11%
4%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1975 |
AUT
6 - 2
LUX
82%
12%
6%
|
45 | 84 | 39 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1975 |
LUX
1 - 3
WAL
39%
25%
36%
|
46 | 75 | 29 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1975 |
NED
2 - 1
LUX
78%
15%
8%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1975 |
LUX
0 - 1
NED
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1975 |
LUX
1 - 2
AUT
26%
24%
50%
|
47 | 84 | 37 | 0 |