Hungary vs Lithuania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
11.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
HUN
0 - 0
GRC
45%
27%
29%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2014 |
HUN
1 - 2
RUS
33%
26%
41%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
HUN
1 - 0
FIN
56%
23%
21%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2014 |
FRO
0 - 1
HUN
12%
19%
70%
|
84 | 49 | 35 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
ROU
1 - 1
HUN
57%
22%
20%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lithuania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
ENG
4 - 0
LTU
87%
11%
3%
|
72 | 94 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2014 |
UKR
0 - 0
LTU
75%
18%
8%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
SUI
4 - 0
LTU
78%
16%
7%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
LTU
0 - 2
SVN
32%
29%
39%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2014 |
LTU
1 - 0
EST
46%
26%
27%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |