Hungary vs Japan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.9%
Win probability
3.85
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.3%
6-0
4%
7-1
1.9%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
6.4%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
3.5%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
10.7%
4-0
8%
5-1
5.5%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.5%
7.6%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
7.6%
4.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1968 |
HUN
1 - 0
GTM
89%
7%
4%
|
91 | 69 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1968 |
HUN
2 - 0
ISR
89%
7%
4%
|
91 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1968 |
HUN
2 - 2
GHA
88%
8%
5%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1968 |
HUN
4 - 0
SLV
90%
7%
3%
|
91 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1968 |
SUN
3 - 0
HUN
31%
25%
44%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1968 |
JPN
3 - 1
FRA
63%
19%
18%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1968 |
ESP
0 - 0
JPN
60%
19%
20%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1968 |
BRA
1 - 1
JPN
85%
9%
6%
|
72 | 90 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1968 |
JPN
3 - 1
NGA
77%
13%
10%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1968 |
AUS
1 - 3
JPN
67%
16%
17%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |