Hungary vs Italy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.9%
Win probability
3.51
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.8%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.7%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.8%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
9.7%
6.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1955 |
HUN
4 - 2
SWE
84%
9%
6%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1955 |
HUN
6 - 1
AUT
86%
9%
6%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1955 |
CSK
1 - 3
HUN
26%
20%
55%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1955 |
HUN
1 - 1
SUN
94%
4%
2%
|
92 | 23 | 69 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1955 |
SUI
4 - 5
HUN
21%
19%
60%
|
92 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1955 |
ITA
0 - 4
YUG
68%
17%
16%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1955 |
GER
1 - 2
ITA
63%
18%
19%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 1955 |
ITA
1 - 0
BEL
76%
14%
10%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1954 |
ITA
2 - 0
ARG
52%
21%
27%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1954 |
SUI
4 - 1
ITA
40%
23%
37%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |