Hungary vs Italy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20%
23.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1936 |
HUN
3 - 3
IRL
77%
13%
10%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1936 |
AUT
3 - 5
HUN
64%
17%
19%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1936 |
HUN
3 - 2
GER
55%
20%
25%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1935 |
ITA
2 - 2
HUN
66%
17%
18%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1935 |
HUN
6 - 1
SUI
77%
13%
10%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1936 |
ITA
2 - 2
AUT
57%
19%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1936 |
SUI
1 - 2
ITA
39%
23%
39%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1935 |
ITA
2 - 2
HUN
66%
17%
18%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1935 |
CSK
2 - 1
ITA
55%
21%
24%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1935 |
AUT
0 - 2
ITA
63%
18%
18%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | +1 |