Hungary vs Italy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
20.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1930 |
CSK
1 - 1
HUN
63%
18%
19%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1930 |
SUI
2 - 2
HUN
34%
22%
44%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1929 |
HUN
2 - 1
AUT
52%
21%
28%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1929 |
CSK
1 - 1
HUN
64%
18%
19%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1929 |
AUT
2 - 2
HUN
63%
18%
19%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1930 |
NED
1 - 1
ITA
53%
22%
26%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1930 |
GER
0 - 2
ITA
54%
21%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 1930 |
ITA
4 - 2
SUI
76%
14%
10%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1929 |
ITA
6 - 1
POR
67%
18%
15%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1929 |
ITA
1 - 2
GER
63%
19%
19%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |