Hungary vs Italy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
12.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1923 |
HUN
2 - 1
SWE
73%
15%
12%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1923 |
HUN
2 - 0
AUT
69%
17%
15%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 1923 |
HUN
3 - 1
FIN
77%
13%
10%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1923 |
AUT
1 - 0
HUN
49%
22%
29%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1923 |
SUI
1 - 6
HUN
41%
23%
35%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1924 |
ITA
0 - 0
ESP
48%
23%
29%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1924 |
ITA
0 - 4
AUT
57%
21%
22%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 May. 1923 |
CSK
5 - 1
ITA
60%
20%
19%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1923 |
AUT
0 - 0
ITA
61%
20%
20%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1923 |
ITA
0 - 0
HUN
49%
22%
29%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |