Hungary vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
6%
5-2
2.7%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
4.3%
5-3
1.3%
6-4
0.3%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
2.1%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18.5%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
14.3%
14.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1954 |
AUT
0 - 1
HUN
41%
21%
39%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1954 |
EGY
0 - 3
HUN
23%
20%
57%
|
89 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1953 |
ENG
3 - 6
HUN
58%
18%
24%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1953 |
HUN
2 - 2
SWE
81%
11%
8%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
AUT
2 - 3
HUN
43%
21%
36%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1954 |
YUG
1 - 0
ENG
46%
20%
34%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1954 |
SCO
2 - 4
ENG
36%
22%
41%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1953 |
ENG
3 - 6
HUN
58%
18%
24%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1953 |
ENG
3 - 1
NIR
89%
7%
4%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1953 |
ENG
4 - 4
WST
92%
6%
3%
|
88 | 9 | 79 | 0 |