Hungary vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.5%
Win probability
3.88
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.8%
8-0
1.4%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.8%
7-0
2.9%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.9%
6-0
5.3%
7-1
1.8%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
7.4%
5-0
8.2%
6-1
3.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
12.1%
4-0
10.6%
5-1
5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.7%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
5.8%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
2.7%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
5.8%
2.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
1.9%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
AUT
2 - 1
HUN
27%
20%
53%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
DDR
2 - 3
HUN
14%
18%
69%
|
92 | 34 | 58 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1961 |
HUN
1 - 2
AUT
88%
8%
4%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1961 |
HUN
3 - 2
WAL
93%
5%
2%
|
92 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1961 |
YUG
2 - 4
HUN
34%
21%
45%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1961 |
DDR
1 - 1
NED
21%
19%
60%
|
72 | 32 | 40 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
NED
0 - 3
HUN
14%
17%
69%
|
72 | 92 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1961 |
NED
1 - 2
MEX
56%
20%
25%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1961 |
NED
6 - 2
BEL
66%
17%
17%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1960 |
CSK
4 - 0
NED
67%
17%
17%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |