Hungary vs Wales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.8%
Win probability
4.75
Expected goals
10-0
0.6%
+10
0.6%
9-0
1.3%
10-1
0.5%
+9
1.8%
8-0
2.4%
9-1
1.1%
10-2
0.2%
+8
3.7%
7-0
4.1%
8-1
2%
9-2
0.4%
10-3
0.1%
+7
6.6%
6-0
6%
7-1
3.4%
8-2
0.8%
9-3
0.1%
10-4
<0%
+6
10.4%
5-0
7.6%
6-1
5%
7-2
1.4%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
14.2%
4-0
8%
5-1
6.3%
6-2
2.1%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
8.6%
4.2%
Draw
0-0
0.4%
1-1
1.5%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
4.2%
2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
0.3%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
1.5%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1958 |
SCO
1 - 1
HUN
17%
19%
64%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1958 |
HUN
2 - 0
YUG
86%
9%
5%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1957 |
GER
1 - 0
HUN
27%
20%
53%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1957 |
HUN
5 - 0
NOR
93%
5%
2%
|
91 | 68 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1957 |
HUN
2 - 0
FRA
89%
7%
4%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1958 |
WAL
1 - 1
NIR
60%
19%
22%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1958 |
WAL
2 - 0
ISR
69%
16%
14%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +2 |
| 15 Jan. 1958 |
ISR
0 - 2
WAL
72%
15%
13%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1957 |
SCO
1 - 1
WAL
71%
17%
12%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1957 |
WAL
0 - 4
ENG
17%
20%
63%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |