Hungary vs France analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
7.5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1976 |
SUI
0 - 1
HUN
23%
26%
51%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1976 |
YUG
0 - 0
HUN
47%
25%
28%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1976 |
HUN
2 - 0
ARG
66%
20%
14%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1975 |
HUN
8 - 1
LUX
90%
7%
3%
|
89 | 46 | 43 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1975 |
CSK
1 - 1
HUN
50%
24%
26%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1976 |
FRA
2 - 0
POL
40%
26%
33%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1976 |
FRA
2 - 2
CSK
44%
28%
28%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1975 |
FRA
0 - 0
BEL
54%
25%
21%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1975 |
DDR
2 - 1
FRA
64%
22%
15%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1975 |
FRA
3 - 0
ISL
84%
11%
6%
|
81 | 51 | 30 | 0 |