Hungary vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1984 |
HUN
0 - 0
NOR
86%
10%
3%
|
89 | 65 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1984 |
TUR
0 - 6
HUN
20%
26%
54%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1984 |
YUG
2 - 1
HUN
55%
23%
22%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1984 |
ESP
0 - 1
HUN
54%
25%
22%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1983 |
GRC
2 - 2
HUN
24%
26%
50%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1984 |
SUI
0 - 4
ESP
29%
29%
42%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1984 |
ESP
2 - 1
DEN
72%
19%
9%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1984 |
LUX
0 - 1
ESP
14%
22%
64%
|
89 | 38 | 51 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1984 |
ESP
0 - 1
HUN
54%
25%
22%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1983 |
ESP
12 - 1
MLT
81%
14%
6%
|
89 | 55 | 34 | 0 |