Hungary vs Scotland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
11.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1980 |
HUN
2 - 1
POL
62%
22%
17%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1979 |
HUN
0 - 2
USA
94%
5%
1%
|
90 | 60 | 30 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1979 |
HUN
3 - 1
FIN
87%
10%
3%
|
90 | 57 | 33 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1979 |
AUT
3 - 1
HUN
40%
26%
34%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1979 |
HUN
2 - 1
CSK
66%
21%
13%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1980 |
POL
1 - 0
SCO
61%
22%
17%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1980 |
SCO
0 - 2
ENG
29%
27%
44%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1980 |
SCO
1 - 0
WAL
68%
21%
11%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1980 |
NIR
1 - 0
SCO
32%
28%
40%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1980 |
SCO
4 - 1
POR
57%
25%
19%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |