Hungary vs Czechoslovakia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
3.34
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.7%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
4%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
12.2%
9.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
HUN
5 - 0
SWE
66%
16%
18%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
HUN
5 - 0
BGR
87%
8%
5%
|
85 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
AUT
3 - 4
HUN
53%
20%
28%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 1949 |
HUN
8 - 2
POL
85%
9%
6%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1949 |
SWE
2 - 2
HUN
69%
15%
16%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Czechoslovakia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
CSK
2 - 0
POL
78%
12%
10%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
AUT
3 - 1
CSK
65%
17%
18%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1949 |
CSK
1 - 3
BGR
81%
11%
8%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | -1 |
| 22 May. 1949 |
CSK
3 - 2
ROU
79%
12%
9%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
CSK
5 - 2
HUN
50%
20%
30%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |