Hungary vs Czechoslovakia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
6%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
4%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
14.6%
13.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1948 |
ALB
0 - 0
HUN
30%
21%
49%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1948 |
AUT
3 - 2
HUN
56%
19%
26%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1948 |
HUN
7 - 4
SUI
82%
11%
8%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1947 |
ROU
0 - 3
HUN
34%
21%
46%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1947 |
AUT
4 - 3
HUN
54%
20%
27%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Czechoslovakia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1948 |
POL
3 - 1
CSK
42%
22%
37%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1947 |
ITA
3 - 1
CSK
76%
13%
11%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1947 |
CSK
3 - 2
AUT
57%
19%
25%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1947 |
ROU
2 - 6
CSK
42%
22%
36%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1947 |
CSK
6 - 3
POL
74%
14%
12%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |