Hungary vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.6%
Win probability
3.98
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.6%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
1.1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.4%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
2.2%
8-2
0.6%
9-3
0.1%
+6
6.4%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
3.8%
7-2
1.1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
10.6%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
5.7%
6-2
2%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
0.1%
+4
15%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
7.2%
5-2
3%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.4%
8%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
2.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
0.1%
0
8%
5.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
AUT
3 - 4
HUN
53%
20%
28%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 1949 |
HUN
8 - 2
POL
85%
9%
6%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1949 |
SWE
2 - 2
HUN
69%
15%
16%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1949 |
HUN
1 - 1
ITA
58%
19%
23%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1949 |
HUN
6 - 1
AUT
69%
15%
16%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1949 |
POL
3 - 2
BGR
62%
18%
20%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1949 |
CSK
1 - 3
BGR
81%
11%
8%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | +2 |
| 07 Nov. 1948 |
BGR
1 - 0
HUN
25%
20%
55%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | +2 |
| 04 Jul. 1948 |
BGR
1 - 3
YUG
37%
20%
43%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 1948 |
ROU
3 - 2
BGR
64%
17%
19%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |