Hungary vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.8%
Win probability
3.66
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
5.1%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
3.2%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
9.1%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
5.2%
6-2
1.7%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.7%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.3%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
0.1%
0
9.5%
6.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 1947 |
YUG
2 - 3
HUN
39%
21%
41%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1947 |
ITA
3 - 2
HUN
72%
15%
13%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1947 |
HUN
5 - 2
AUT
62%
17%
20%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1946 |
LUX
2 - 7
HUN
28%
21%
52%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1946 |
HUN
2 - 0
AUT
57%
19%
24%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 1947 |
BGR
2 - 0
ALB
53%
20%
26%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1947 |
BGR
2 - 3
ROU
52%
20%
28%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 1947 |
BGR
2 - 0
ALB
50%
21%
29%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1946 |
BGR
1 - 2
YUG
50%
21%
29%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1946 |
ALB
3 - 1
BGR
65%
17%
18%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |