Hungary vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.4%
10.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1934 |
CSK
2 - 2
HUN
61%
18%
21%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1934 |
AUT
5 - 2
HUN
66%
17%
17%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1934 |
BGR
1 - 4
HUN
35%
22%
43%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 1934 |
GER
3 - 1
HUN
53%
20%
28%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1933 |
HUN
0 - 1
ITA
57%
20%
23%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1934 |
AUT
6 - 1
BGR
79%
12%
9%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1934 |
YUG
2 - 3
BGR
36%
22%
42%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1934 |
BGR
1 - 4
HUN
35%
22%
43%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1934 |
BGR
1 - 2
YUG
79%
12%
9%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1934 |
GRC
1 - 0
BGR
58%
19%
23%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |