Hungary vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
3.39
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.8%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
4.1%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
11.9%
9.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 1954 |
HUN
8 - 3
BRD
87%
8%
5%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1954 |
HUN
9 - 0
KOR
90%
7%
4%
|
90 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1954 |
HUN
7 - 1
ENG
71%
14%
14%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1954 |
AUT
0 - 1
HUN
41%
21%
39%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 1954 |
EGY
0 - 3
HUN
23%
20%
57%
|
89 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 1954 |
BRA
1 - 1
YUG
67%
17%
16%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1954 |
BRA
5 - 0
MEX
75%
14%
11%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
BRA
4 - 1
PAR
78%
13%
10%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1954 |
BRA
1 - 0
CHI
82%
11%
7%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
PAR
0 - 1
BRA
38%
22%
40%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |