Hungary vs Austria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.4%
Win probability
3.27
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.5%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
10%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10%
5.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 1965 |
HUN
2 - 1
ITA
75%
15%
10%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1965 |
AUT
0 - 1
HUN
31%
23%
47%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1965 |
DDR
1 - 1
HUN
19%
21%
61%
|
91 | 65 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1965 |
ENG
1 - 0
HUN
48%
21%
31%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1964 |
HUN
2 - 1
YUG
78%
13%
9%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 1965 |
AUT
0 - 1
HUN
31%
23%
47%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1965 |
SUN
0 - 0
AUT
49%
23%
29%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1965 |
AUT
1 - 1
DDR
80%
12%
8%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1965 |
FRA
1 - 2
AUT
52%
21%
27%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
AUT
1 - 0
SUN
68%
17%
14%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |