Hungary vs Austria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.5%
Win probability
3.56
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.7%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.5%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.8%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
15%
3-0
10%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.7%
8.2%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.2%
4.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1961 |
HUN
3 - 2
WAL
93%
5%
2%
|
92 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1961 |
YUG
2 - 4
HUN
34%
21%
45%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
NED
0 - 3
HUN
14%
17%
69%
|
91 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
HUN
2 - 0
DDR
92%
6%
3%
|
91 | 33 | 58 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1961 |
EGY
0 - 2
HUN
19%
19%
62%
|
91 | 67 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1961 |
AUT
3 - 1
ENG
39%
21%
40%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1960 |
ITA
1 - 2
AUT
65%
18%
17%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1960 |
HUN
2 - 0
AUT
87%
8%
5%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1960 |
AUT
3 - 0
ESP
50%
21%
29%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1960 |
AUT
3 - 1
SUN
79%
12%
8%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |