Hungary vs Austria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
3.24
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
4%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
2.9%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
4.4%
5-3
1.4%
6-4
0.3%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
3%
2-1
7%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
2.1%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18.2%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
13.8%
13.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1950 |
HUN
12 - 0
ALB
89%
7%
4%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1950 |
POL
2 - 5
HUN
29%
20%
50%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1950 |
AUT
5 - 3
HUN
51%
20%
30%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1950 |
HUN
5 - 0
CSK
78%
12%
10%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
HUN
5 - 0
SWE
66%
16%
18%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1950 |
AUT
7 - 2
YUG
70%
16%
15%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1950 |
AUT
5 - 3
HUN
51%
20%
30%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1950 |
AUT
1 - 0
ITA
49%
21%
30%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1950 |
AUT
3 - 3
SUI
77%
13%
10%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
YUG
2 - 5
AUT
52%
20%
29%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |