Hungary vs Austria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
4.2%
5-3
1.2%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
2.1%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.1%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
15.4%
16.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
CSK
5 - 2
HUN
50%
20%
30%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1948 |
BGR
1 - 0
HUN
25%
20%
55%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1948 |
ROU
1 - 5
HUN
30%
21%
50%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1948 |
HUN
2 - 1
AUT
68%
16%
16%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1948 |
POL
2 - 6
HUN
33%
21%
46%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1949 |
SUI
1 - 2
AUT
41%
21%
38%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1949 |
AUT
1 - 0
TUR
76%
13%
11%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1948 |
AUT
2 - 1
SWE
53%
20%
28%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1948 |
CSK
3 - 1
AUT
54%
20%
26%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1948 |
HUN
2 - 1
AUT
68%
16%
16%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |