Hungary vs Austria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.9%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
17.3%
20.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1946 |
LUX
2 - 7
HUN
28%
21%
52%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1946 |
HUN
2 - 0
AUT
57%
19%
24%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1946 |
AUT
3 - 2
HUN
59%
19%
22%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1945 |
HUN
7 - 2
ROU
79%
12%
9%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1945 |
HUN
5 - 2
AUT
54%
19%
27%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1946 |
ITA
3 - 2
AUT
71%
15%
14%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1946 |
SUI
1 - 0
AUT
38%
21%
41%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1946 |
AUT
3 - 4
CSK
66%
17%
17%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1946 |
HUN
2 - 0
AUT
57%
19%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1946 |
FRA
3 - 1
AUT
32%
21%
47%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | -1 |