Hungary vs Austria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
7%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.5%
28.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1943 |
HUN
2 - 7
SWE
66%
17%
18%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1943 |
FIN
0 - 3
HUN
30%
20%
49%
|
81 | 53 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1943 |
SWE
2 - 3
HUN
61%
17%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1943 |
BGR
2 - 4
HUN
33%
21%
46%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1943 |
SUI
1 - 3
HUN
43%
21%
36%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1937 |
CSK
2 - 1
AUT
49%
20%
31%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1937 |
AUT
2 - 1
LVA
81%
11%
8%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1937 |
AUT
1 - 2
HUN
62%
18%
20%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1937 |
AUT
2 - 1
LVA
80%
12%
8%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1937 |
AUT
4 - 3
SUI
82%
11%
7%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |