Hungary vs Austria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
20%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20%
30.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 1936 |
POL
3 - 0
HUN
39%
21%
40%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1936 |
HUN
1 - 2
ITA
56%
20%
24%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1936 |
HUN
3 - 3
IRL
77%
13%
10%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1936 |
AUT
3 - 5
HUN
64%
17%
19%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1936 |
HUN
3 - 2
GER
55%
20%
25%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 1936 |
ITA
2 - 1
AUT
57%
19%
24%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1936 |
POL
1 - 3
AUT
38%
21%
41%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1936 |
PER
4 - 2
AUT
29%
21%
50%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1936 |
AUT
3 - 1
EGY
78%
13%
10%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1936 |
ITA
2 - 2
AUT
57%
19%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |